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Back to ARMSMALive · reading of Sep 28

Paravigil

What changed this week, assembled automatically from the situation watch and the feeds. Every line links to its source.

Week Sep 28 – Oct 4 · week in progress

No country moved up a level and 2 moved down. 21 countries are elevated or worse, against 21 before the week. No earthquake with a PAGER impact alert, no GDACS red alert, no Copernicus mapping activation.

Moved up0

Nothing this week.

Moved down2

  • Burkina Faso High → Elevated
  • Nepal Watch → Normal

Where violence was worst

UCDP publishes with a lag: its last 30 days of data (up to 2026-08-31) against the 30 before. The current UCDP release does not reach back to the 30 days before, so there is no comparison (—).

CountryLast 30 days30 days before
Ukraine5,467—
Yemen1,400—
Nigeria1,006—
Pakistan547—
Ethiopia283—
Sudan270—
Colombia246—
Mexico207—

Disasters0

Nothing this week.

Extreme weather warnings in force5

  • Kazakhstan 68 extreme of 107
  • Colombia 7 extreme of 14
  • Saudi Arabia 5 extreme of 22
  • Ecuador 2 extreme of 5
  • Paraguay 1 extreme of 2

Disease outbreak notices0

Nothing this week.

Compound crises18

  • Nigeria — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, internet outages, food insecurity at the same time
  • Ukraine — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
  • Afghanistan — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
  • Cameroon — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, food insecurity at the same time
  • Colombia — Compound crisis: organised violence, natural hazards, food insecurity at the same time
  • Democratic Republic of the Congo — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, disease outbreaks, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
  • Ethiopia — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, food insecurity at the same time
  • Iran — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, internet outages at the same time
  • Mali — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, food insecurity at the same time
  • Niger — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, food insecurity at the same time
  • Pakistan — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, food insecurity at the same time
  • Somalia — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
  • Sudan — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
  • Syria — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
  • Uganda — Compound crisis: organised violence, internet outages, food insecurity at the same time
  • Venezuela — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time
  • Yemen — Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, food insecurity at the same time
  • South Sudan — Compound crisis: official travel advice, internet outages, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same time

Built by the situation watch every few hours during the week; a finished week keeps its last version. Nothing here is written by hand or generated by a language model — it is the data, arranged.