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South Africa

NormalScore 1Open the map

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    36

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    0.7

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    16%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    14

  • Population

    64.7 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    3 / 16

    near violence / total; 1 nuclear

Why this level1

  • +11 nuclear power plant within 50 km of organised violence in the last 90 daysWRI Global Power Plant Database · UCDP

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Nuclear plants near violence

    1

  • Refugees who fled

    3 894

  • Power plants near violence

    3

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

South Africa, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 5%
  • Non-state conflict · 73%
  • Against civilians · 23%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
—
2026-08
Share in food crisis
—
2026-08
Undernourishment
10.0%
2023
Refugees who fled
3,894
2025
Refugees hosted
137,535
2025
Internally displaced
—
2025
Sanctions designations
81
2026-09-29
GDP per person
$6,598
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

FEWS NET does not cover this country.

Latest incidents of organised violence16

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-08-25on the N2 highway in Cape TownUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Unidentified armed group (South Africa)10Cape Argus, Cape Argus, News24 online
2026-08-24Marshall Crescent, Happy Valley, Cape TownUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Unidentified armed group (South Africa)30Cape Argus, News24 online
2026-08-23Silvertown, Athlone, Cape TownUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Unidentified armed group (South Africa)50Cape Argus, News24 online
2026-08-21 – 2026-08-24Cape TownUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Unidentified armed group (South Africa)50Cape Argus, AllAfrica
2026-08-20Bongani area of KnysnaUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Civilians22Xinhua News Agency, News24 online, News24 online
2026-08-17Elsies River, Cape TownUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Civilians11News24 online
2026-08-15Newclare, JohannesburgUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Unidentified armed group (South Africa)30News24 online
2026-08-09Barcelona informal settlement, GugulethuUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Unidentified armed group (South Africa)30News24 online, BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-08LangaUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Unidentified armed group (South Africa)50News24 online, BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-08KhayelitshaUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Unidentified armed group (South Africa)30News24 online, BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-07Reiger Park, GautengUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Civilians22News24 online, News24 online, News24 online
2026-08-07Reiger Park, GautengUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Unidentified armed group (South Africa)20News24 online, News24 online, News24 online
2026-08-05Bo-Kaap community, Cape TownUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Civilians11Cape Argus
2026-08-01along Old Klipfontein Road, Nyanga, Cape TownUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Unidentified armed group (South Africa)40Cape Times
2026-07-29 – 2026-08-01Mitchells PlainUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Civilians30News24 online
2026-07-10 – 2026-08-02body found in Delmas --- reported missing in BronkhorstspruitUnidentified armed group (South Africa) — Civilians11News24 online

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days3

  • Unidentified armed groups (South Africa)32
  • Unidentified armed group (South Africa) - Civilians10
  • Unidentified armed group (South Africa)2

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days2

  • FloodFlood in South Africa · Sep 17, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in South Africa · Sep 14, 2026

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: South Africa: No specific restriction

No severe weather warning in force.

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Power plants near danger3

  • Ankerlig · Oil · 1,327 MW

    9 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 36 km

  • Kendal power station · Coal · 4,116 MW

    1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 38 km

  • Koeberg · Nuclear · 1,800 MW

    11 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 27 km

Distance only: this does not mean a plant was affected.

WRI Global Power Plant Database; UCDP; GDACS · USGS

Next 7 days in Pretoria

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Tue, Sep 2911…1713.2 mm40 km/hthunderstorm
Wed, Sep 3010…1427.2 mm45 km/h
Thu, Oct 19…160.5 mm30 km/h
Fri, Oct 27…180.0 mm22 km/h
Sat, Oct 39…210.0 mm26 km/h
Sun, Oct 411…184.5 mm44 km/h
Mon, Oct 512…1627.6 mm48 km/hthunderstorm

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Disasters since 20008

022000: 020002001: 02002: 02003: 02004: 02005: 020052006: 02007: 02008: 02009: 02010: 020102011: 02012: 02013: 02014: 02015: 020152016: 02017: 02018: 02019: Droughts 22020: Droughts 120202021: Floods 12022: Floods 12023: 02024: Tropical cyclones 12025: Floods 120252026: Floods 12026

FloodsTropical cyclonesDroughts

  • Flood in Mozambique, South Africa, Zimbabwe · Jan 19, 2026 · Magnitude 0
  • Flood in South Africa · Jun 9, 2025 · Magnitude 0
  • Tropical Cyclone FILIPO-24 · Mar 3, 2024 · Post-tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 158 km/h)
  • Flood in South Africa · Apr 9, 2022 · Magnitude 0
  • Flood in Eswatini, Madagascar, Mozambique, South Africa, Zimbabwe · Jan 19, 2021 · Magnitude 0
  • Drought in Lesotho, South Africa · Mar 21, 2020 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 146335 km2
  • Drought in Botswana, Lesotho, Mozambique, Swaziland, South Africa · May 21, 2019 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 276650 km2
  • Drought in Botswana, Mozambique, South Africa, Zimbabwe · Mar 21, 2019 · Severe impact for agricultural drought in 102368 km2

GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)