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Back to ARMSMALive · reading of Sep 29

Uganda

NormalScore 1Open the map

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    2

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    0.0

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    100%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    2

  • Population

    51.4 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    0 / 0

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level1

  • +11.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Violence deaths, 30 days

    1

  • Internet outage alerts, 24 h

    2

  • Natural hazards, 7 days

    1

    —

  • Violence incidents, 30 days

    1

  • People in food crisis (IPC 3+)

    1 250 000

  • Refugees who fled

    24 193

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Uganda, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 0%
  • Non-state conflict · 0%
  • Against civilians · 100%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
1.3 M
2026-08
Share in food crisis
2%
2026-08
Undernourishment
22.0%
2023
Refugees who fled
—
Refugees hosted
—
Internally displaced
—
Sanctions designations
43
2026-09-29
GDP per person
$1,206
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).

FEWS NET — IPC-compatible analysis

Latest incidents of organised violence2

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-08-29Ndejje, Kanaaba, Wakiso District --- Kanaaba, Ndejje, in Makindye Ssabagabo,Government of Uganda — Civilians11independent.co.ug, independent.co.ug
2026-08-05Lobule Refugee Settlement in Koboko DistrictSPLM/A - IO — Civilians11AllAfrica

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days2

  • Government of Uganda - Civilians1
  • SPLM/A - IO - Civilians1

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days1

  • FloodFlood in Uganda · Sep 20, 2026

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Uganda: No specific restriction

No severe weather warning in force.

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Next 7 days in Kampala

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Tue, Sep 2918…2723.5 mm39 km/h
Wed, Sep 3019…280.4 mm29 km/h
Thu, Oct 119…280.6 mm38 km/h
Fri, Oct 219…290.5 mm27 km/h
Sat, Oct 320…281.2 mm25 km/h
Sun, Oct 419…281.5 mm30 km/h
Mon, Oct 521…283.0 mm32 km/h

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets14

ItemPriceUSDYear
Beans / KG3,864 UGX1.04+7%
Maize flour / KG4,833 UGX1.30+94%
Maize (white) / KG1,455 UGX0.39+7%
Sorghum / KG1,994 UGX0.540%
Oil (vegetable) / L7,969 UGX2.14+6%
Cassava (fresh) / KG599 UGX0.16+8%
Millet flour / KG4,833 UGX1.30+4%
Milk (fresh) / L2,000 UGX0.540%
Salt / KG2,000 UGX0.54+14%
Leafy vegetables / KG2,000 UGX0.54+15%
Basin / Unit5,333 UGX1.44+7%
Batteries / Pair2,000 UGX0.540%
Charcoal / KG1,115 UGX0.30+34%
Exercise Book (48 pages) / Unit500 UGX0.13-6%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-08); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)

Disasters since 20004

022000: 020002001: 02002: 02003: 02004: 02005: 020052006: 02007: 02008: 02009: 02010: 020102011: 02012: 02013: 02014: 02015: 020152016: 02017: 02018: 02019: Floods 12020: Floods 120202021: 02022: 02023: 02024: 02025: 020252026: Droughts 22026

DroughtsFloods

  • Drought in Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda · May 21, 2026 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 196893 km2
  • Drought in Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan, Somalia, South Sudan, Uganda · Apr 21, 2026 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 752713 km2
  • Flood in Uganda · May 1, 2020 · Magnitude 0
  • Flood in Uganda · Dec 3, 2019 · Magnitude 0

GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)