Skip to main content
Back to ARMSMALive · reading of Sep 29

Tajikistan

NormalScore 0Open the map
  • Deaths 30 d

    1

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    0.1

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    100%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    1

  • Population

    10.8 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    0 / 1

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level0

Nothing in the open sources stands out.

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Refugees who fled

    10 583

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Tajikistan, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 100%
  • Non-state conflict · 0%
  • Against civilians · 0%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
—
2026-08
Share in food crisis
—
2026-08
Undernourishment
8.4%
2023
Refugees who fled
—
Refugees hosted
—
Internally displaced
—
Sanctions designations
13
2026-09-29
GDP per person
$1,637
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

FEWS NET does not cover this country.

Latest incidents of organised violence1

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-08-13Dashtak in Tajikistan's Darvoz DistrictGovernment of Afghanistan — Forces of Juma Khan Fateh11Xinhua News Agency, BBC Monitoring Round-up

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days1

  • Afghanistan: Government1

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days0

None in the last 30 days.

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Tajikistan: No specific restriction

No severe weather warning in force.

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Next 7 days in Dushanbe

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Tue, Sep 2913…250.0 mm21 km/h
Wed, Sep 3014…290.6 mm24 km/h
Thu, Oct 116…273.1 mm43 km/h
Fri, Oct 215…251.0 mm19 km/h
Sat, Oct 314…290.0 mm21 km/h
Sun, Oct 416…320.0 mm21 km/h
Mon, Oct 516…289.6 mm30 km/h

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets14

ItemPriceUSDYear
Bread / 150 G3.3 TJS0.36+9%
Potatoes / KG4.84 TJS0.52-3%
Rice / KG16 TJS1.73-5%
Wheat flour (first grade) / KG5 TJS0.54-2%
Salt / KG1.75 TJS0.19+17%
Sugar / KG11 TJS1.19+2%
Tea (black) / KG52 TJS5.63+6%
Tea (green) / KG51.92 TJS5.63+3%
Oil (cotton) / L17.33 TJS1.88+6%
Oil (vegetable) / L18.39 TJS1.99+3%
Cabbage / KG4.2 TJS0.46-26%
Carrots / KG6 TJS0.65+38%
Milk / L7 TJS0.76+13%
Onions / KG2.95 TJS0.32-1%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-09); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)