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Somalia

HighScore 7Compound crisesOpen the map

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    147

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    7.5

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    0%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    37

  • Population

    19.7 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    0 / 0

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level5

  • +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
  • +25.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET
  • +13 deaths in organised violence in the last 30 daysUCDP GED Candidate
  • +11.1 million refugees and asylum-seekers have fled the countryUNHCR
  • +1Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same timeARMSMA situation watch

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Violence deaths, 30 days

    3

  • Travel advice level (FCDO)

    3

  • Violence incidents, 30 days

    2

  • People in food crisis (IPC 3+)

    5 500 000

  • Refugees who fled

    1 128 308

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Somalia, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 93%
  • Non-state conflict · 7%
  • Against civilians · 0%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
5.5 M
2026-08
Share in food crisis
28%
2026-08
Undernourishment
53.2%
2023
Refugees who fled
1,128,308
2025
Refugees hosted
46,669
2025
Internally displaced
3,347,408
2025
Sanctions designations
105
2026-09-29
GDP per person
$661
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).

FEWS NET — IPC-compatible analysis

Latest incidents of organised violence25

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-08-31Basra areaGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab30Goobjoog News, Hiiraan News
2026-08-30 – 2026-09-01Elasha Biyaha areaGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab00BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-29Barsa village near town of MarkaGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab50Somali National News Agency (SONNA), BBC Monitoring News Alert, BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-29outskirts of Mogadishu's Deynile DistrictGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab00BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-28village of MubarakGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab00BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-26 – 2026-08-27Deynile and Yaqshid districts in MogadishuGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab00BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-24 – 2026-08-27Jilib townGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab30BBC Monitoring News Alert, BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-24near Balidogle military baseGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab00BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-23JilibGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab10BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-22Madah-Marodi village near the Balidhogle military baseGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab00BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-22Wargaadhi areaGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab10Goobjoog News
2026-08-21 – 2026-08-22Daru-nicma areaGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab20Hiiraan News
2026-08-21bases located in MubarakGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab00BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-21Tawakal area which is approximately five kilometres from Ali Gadud villageGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab10Hiiraan News, BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-20in the village of Dhalan near the border town of DhobleyGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab20BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-20Mahadaay districtGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab20Hiiraan News
2026-08-19Fidow areaGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab20Goobjoog News
2026-08-19near Baidoa townGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab180BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-18MogadishuGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab00BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-17bases in the town BaidoaGovernment of Somalia — Forces of Laftagareen400Reuters News, Reuters News, Agence France Presse
2026-08-16Tardo areaGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab80Xinhua News Agency, Goobjoog News, Somali National News Agency (SONNA)
2026-08-15checkpoint at Fagah junction in MogadishuGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab00BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-14near the town of AwdhigleGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab00BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-14Warciise area, 25 kilometers from Jowhar townGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab90Xinhua News Agency, Goobjoog News, Hiiraan News
2026-08-12Maxaas districtGovernment of Somalia — Al-Shabaab70Goobjoog News, Hiiraan News, Somali National News Agency (SONNA)

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days2

  • Somalia: Government137
  • IS - SFC10

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days1

  • FloodFlood in Somalia · Sep 16, 2026

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Somalia: Avoid all travel to parts

No severe weather warning in force.

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Next 7 days in Mogadishu

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Tue, Sep 2926…300.1 mm43 km/h
Wed, Sep 3025…292.7 mm50 km/h
Thu, Oct 125…2910.0 mm44 km/h
Fri, Oct 225…302.6 mm38 km/h
Sat, Oct 325…295.1 mm32 km/h
Sun, Oct 425…295.3 mm36 km/h
Mon, Oct 525…292.2 mm38 km/h

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets14

ItemPriceUSDYear
Sorghum (red) / KG8,030 SOS0.00-56%
Maize (white) / KG10,175 SOS0.00-37%
Rice (imported) / KG7,700 SOS0.00-71%
Milk (camel) / L16,500 SOS0.00-43%
Sorghum (white) / KG11,000 SOS0.00-57%
Exchange rate / USD/LCU11,000 SOS0.00-61%
Fuel (diesel) / L13,475 SOS0.00-54%
Pasta / KG11,000 SOS0.00-63%
Wheat flour (imported) / KG6,050 SOS0.00-71%
Potatoes / KG7,177.5 SOS0.00-76%
Salt / KG6,600 SOS0.00-51%
Sugar (white) / KG8,525 SOS0.00-71%
Cowpeas / KG22,000 SOS0.00-45%
Onions / KG12,650 SOS0.00-60%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-08); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)

Disasters since 20008

032000: 020002001: 02002: 02003: 02004: 02005: 020052006: 02007: 02008: 02009: 02010: 020102011: 02012: 02013: 02014: 02015: 020152016: 02017: 02018: 02019: Floods 12020: Tropical cyclones 1, Floods 220202021: 02022: 02023: Floods 22024: 02025: Droughts 120252026: Droughts 12026

DroughtsFloodsTropical cyclones

  • Drought in Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan, Somalia, South Sudan, Uganda · Apr 21, 2026 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 752713 km2
  • Drought in Kenya, Somalia · May 21, 2025 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 124167 km2
  • Flood in Somalia · Oct 4, 2023 · Magnitude 0
  • Flood in Somalia · Mar 20, 2023 · Magnitude 0
  • Tropical Cyclone GATI-20 · Nov 21, 2020 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 185 km/h)
  • Flood in Somalia · May 21, 2020 · Magnitude 0
  • Flood in Somalia · Apr 20, 2020 · Magnitude 0
  • Flood in Somalia · Oct 20, 2019 · Magnitude 0

GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)

Next elections1

  • March 2027 — Parliament

Wikipedia — national electoral calendar (CC BY-SA)