Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
1,006
UCDP up to 2026-08-31
Per million 90 d
4.3
last 90 days
Civilians
17%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
161
Population
237.5 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
1 / 1
near violence / total; 0 nuclear
Why this level5
- +230 deaths in organised violence in the last 30 daysUCDP GED Candidate
- +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
- +221.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET
- +112 critical internet-connectivity alerts in 24 hoursIODA, Georgia Tech
- +1Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, internet outages, food insecurity at the same timeARMSMA situation watch
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Violence deaths, 30 days
30
Natural hazards, 7 days
1
Travel advice level (FCDO)
3
Violence incidents, 30 days
12
Internet outage alerts, 24 h
12
Refugees who fled
534 326
Power plants near violence
1
Severe weather warnings in force
1
People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
21 500 000
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Nigeria, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 63%
- Non-state conflict · 22%
- Against civilians · 15%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- 21.5 M
- 2026-08
- Share in food crisis
- 9%
- 2026-08
- Undernourishment
- 19.9%
- 2023
- Refugees who fled
- 534,326
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 142,040
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- 3,544,519
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 73
- 2026-09-28
- GDP per person
- $1,224
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).
FEWS NET — IPC-compatible analysis
Latest incidents of organised violence25
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 – 2026-09-01 | Abadam Local Government Area of Borno | Government of Nigeria — IS | 3 | 0 | News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) |
| 2026-08-31 | Rogo lga, Kano state | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Civilians | 2 | 2 | punchng.com |
| 2026-08-31 – 2026-09-01 | Kogo Village, Matazu LGA, Katsina state | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) | 2 | 0 | News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) |
| 2026-08-31 – 2026-09-01 | Makodi Gwamnare Forest in Ningi LGA of Bauchi State | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) | 2 | 0 | News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) |
| 2026-08-30 – 2026-08-31 | Matazu LGA, Katsina State | Government of Nigeria — Forces of Muhammadu | 2 | 0 | Zagazola, @DanKatsina50, @DanKatsina50 |
| 2026-08-30 | Awka | Black Axe — SVC | 2 | 0 | AllAfrica, punchng.com, vanguardngr.com |
| 2026-08-30 | Rantan community in Bebeji LGA of Kano State | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Civilians | 2 | 2 | @DanKatsina50, punchng.com |
| 2026-08-30 | outskirts of Gandi area, Rabah LGA of Sokoto State --- Ghandi community | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Civilians | 8 | 8 | BBC Monitoring News Alert, @DanKatsina50, punchng.com |
| 2026-08-30 – 2026-08-31 | around the Ashuwa–Alala axis of Niger State --- around A’ure–Kuimo in Mariga LGA | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) | 2 | 0 | @DanKatsina50 |
| 2026-08-29 | Matazu LGA, Katsina State --- during clearance operation across Farin Tafki, Maharba, Adua and Soro Daya villages in Matazu LGA, Katsina Stat | Government of Nigeria — Forces of Muhammadu | 1 | 0 | Zagazola, @DanKatsina50, @DanKatsina50 |
| 2026-08-29 – 2026-08-30 | Chiromawa town in Garun Malam LGA, Kano State | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Civilians | 3 | 3 | @DanKatsina50 |
| 2026-08-29 | Zak village in Wase Local Government Area of Plateau State | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) | 1 | 0 | Zagazola |
| 2026-08-28 | Maikujera town, Rabah Local Government Area of Sokoto State | Government of Nigeria — Forces of Bello Turji | 30 | 0 | Zagazola, @DanKatsina50, punchng.com |
| 2026-08-28 – 2026-08-30 | enclave in Sambisa forest | Government of Nigeria — IS | 4 | 0 | vanguardngr.com |
| 2026-08-28 | Kukawa town, Borno State, | Government of Nigeria — IS | 26 | 0 | News Agency of Nigeria (NAN), Zagazola, Zagazola |
| 2026-08-28 – 2026-09-01 | villages in Faskari Local Government Area of Katsina State | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Civilians | 2 | 2 | AllAfrica |
| 2026-08-28 | Batok 2 Village, Riyom Local Government Area of Plateau State --- Fang village, Bachi district | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) | 1 | 0 | Zagazola, The Premium Times |
| 2026-08-28 – 2026-08-29 | Radura village, Fann District of Barkin Ladi Local Government Area | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) | 2 | 0 | The Premium Times |
| 2026-08-27 | around the Kopre Mountain general area of Hong Local Government Area of Adamawa State | Government of Nigeria — IS | 21 | 0 | News Agency of Nigeria (NAN), Zagazola, BBC Monitoring News Alert |
| 2026-08-27 | Gulumba Gana axis | Government of Nigeria — IS | 4 | 0 | @ZagazOlaMakama, vanguardngr.com |
| 2026-08-27 | Gidan Kare village, Tureta LGA | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Civilians | 1 | 1 | AllAfrica, @DanKatsina50 |
| 2026-08-27 | Agip-Ada George junction in Port Harcourt | Government of Nigeria — Civilians | 1 | 1 | The Premium Times, punchng.com, punchng.com |
| 2026-08-27 | Power Line Bus Stop, Ikola, in the Alimosho Local Government Area of Lagos State | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) | 1 | 0 | punchng.com |
| 2026-08-27 | area of Bachi Village, Fang District, Riyom Local Government Area of Plateau State | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) | 1 | 0 | Zagazola |
| 2026-08-27 | along the Itobe-Ochadamu Expressway, around Ojuwo Olijo in Ofu LGA | Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) — Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) | 1 | 0 | BBC Monitoring News Alert, vanguardngr.com |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Conflicts, 90 days8
- Unidentified armed group (Nigeria)450
- Nigeria: Islamic State184
- Unidentified armed groups (Nigeria)131
- Unidentified armed group (Nigeria) - Civilians128
- Fulani - Mwaghavul32
- Fulani - Kambari20
- Forces of Bello Turji - Civilians14
- IS - JAS13
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days1
- FloodFlood in Nigeria · Sep 22, 2026
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Power plants near danger1
Alaoji · Gas · 1,074 MW
3 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 44 km
Distance only: this does not mean a plant was affected.
WRI Global Power Plant Database; UCDP; GDACS · USGS