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Mozambique

WatchScore 3Open the map

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    8

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    0.7

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    32%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    3

  • Population

    35.6 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    0 / 1

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level2

  • +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
  • +11.8 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Travel advice level (FCDO)

    3

  • People in food crisis (IPC 3+)

    1 750 000

  • Refugees who fled

    7 326

  • Internet outage alerts, 24 h

    1

    —

  • Natural hazards, 7 days

    1

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Mozambique, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 68%
  • Non-state conflict · 0%
  • Against civilians · 32%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
1.8 M
2026-08
Share in food crisis
5%
2026-08
Undernourishment
21.8%
2023
Refugees who fled
7,326
2025
Refugees hosted
24,077
2025
Internally displaced
461,745
2025
Sanctions designations
11
2026-09-29
GDP per person
$627
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).

FEWS NET — IPC-compatible analysis

Latest incidents of organised violence4

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-08-11 – 2026-08-17along the banks of Lake Inguri, near Litamanda village in northern MozambiqueIS — Civilians55Carta de Mocambique, BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-01 – 2026-08-15near the village of CogoloGovernment of Mozambique — IS00Carta de Mocambique
2026-08-01informal gold mining area in Shamba Kubwa, near the Niassa Special Reserve.Government of Mozambique — IS170BBC Monitoring News Alert, BBC Monitoring News Alert, Mozambique Conflict Monitor
2026-07-31 – 2026-08-13near the N1 National Highway, on the stretch connecting Pemba to Silva Macua, near the village of Miguel, in the Ancuabe district of Cabo Delgado provinceIS — Civilians33Carta de Mocambique

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days2

  • Mozambique: Islamic State17
  • IS - Civilians8

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days25

  • WildfireForest fires in Mozambique · Sep 26, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Mozambique · Sep 17, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Mozambique · Sep 16, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Mozambique · Sep 15, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Mozambique · Sep 15, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Mozambique · Sep 14, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Mozambique · Sep 14, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Mozambique · Sep 14, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Mozambique · Sep 14, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Mozambique · Sep 14, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Mozambique · Sep 14, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Mozambique · Sep 13, 2026

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Mozambique: Avoid all travel to parts

No severe weather warning in force.

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Next 7 days in Maputo

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Tue, Sep 2917…2022.7 mm40 km/h
Wed, Sep 3016…221.0 mm40 km/h
Thu, Oct 116…231.6 mm32 km/h
Fri, Oct 214…240.5 mm29 km/h
Sat, Oct 315…260.0 mm37 km/h
Sun, Oct 417…271.2 mm31 km/h
Mon, Oct 519…234.8 mm27 km/h

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets14

ItemPriceUSDYear
Onions / KG70 MZN1.10—
Beans (butter) / KG100 MZN1.57-17%
Tomatoes / KG100 MZN1.57+33%
Cowpeas / KG77.5 MZN1.21-3%
Carrots / KG120 MZN1.88+85%
Sweet potatoes / KG50 MZN0.78+5%
Cabbage / KG95 MZN1.49+19%
Maize meal / 25 KG1,150 MZN18.03-4%
Rice / 25 KG1,600 MZN25.08-6%
Sugar / KG100 MZN1.570%
Oil (vegetable) / 5 L750 MZN11.76-9%
Salt (iodised) / KG50 MZN0.78+43%
Groundnuts / KG142.5 MZN2.24-5%
Kale / KG100 MZN1.57+82%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-03); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)

Disasters since 200018

052000: 020002001: 02002: 02003: 02004: 02005: 020052006: 02007: 02008: 02009: 02010: 020102011: 02012: 02013: 02014: 02015: 020152016: 02017: 02018: Droughts 12019: Droughts 2, Tropical cyclones 2, Floods 12020: Droughts 120202021: Floods 1, Tropical cyclones 12022: Tropical cyclones 12023: Tropical cyclones 12024: Tropical cyclones 22025: Floods 1, Tropical cyclones 220252026: Tropical cyclones 1, Floods 12026

Tropical cyclonesFloodsDroughts

  • Tropical Cyclone GEZANI-26 · Feb 6, 2026 · Post-tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 211 km/h)
  • Flood in Mozambique, South Africa, Zimbabwe · Jan 19, 2026 · Magnitude 0
  • Flood in Mozambique · Dec 22, 2025 · Magnitude 0
  • Tropical Cyclone JUDE-25 · Mar 8, 2025 · Post-tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 148 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI-25 · Jan 8, 2025 · Post-tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 201 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone CHIDO-25 · Dec 9, 2024 · Inland (maximum wind speed of 243 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone FILIPO-24 · Mar 3, 2024 · Post-tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 158 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone FREDDY-23 · Feb 6, 2023 · Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 250 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone ANA-22 · Jan 23, 2022 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
  • Flood in Eswatini, Madagascar, Mozambique, South Africa, Zimbabwe · Jan 19, 2021 · Magnitude 0
  • Tropical Cyclone ELOISE-21 · Jan 17, 2021 · Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 139 km/h)
  • Drought in Mozambique · Feb 21, 2020 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 42220 km2
  • Drought in Botswana, Lesotho, Mozambique, Swaziland, South Africa · May 21, 2019 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 276650 km2
  • Tropical Cyclone KENNETH-19 · Apr 23, 2019 · Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 231 km/h)
  • Drought in Botswana, Mozambique, South Africa, Zimbabwe · Mar 21, 2019 · Severe impact for agricultural drought in 102368 km2
  • Flood in Mozambique · Mar 9, 2019 · Magnitude 0.00

GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)