Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
0
UCDP up to 2026-08-31
Per million 90 d
—
last 90 days
Civilians
—
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
0
Population
32.7 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
0 / 0
near violence / total; 0 nuclear
Why this level1
- +11.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
1 250 000
Refugees who fled
999
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Madagascar, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 0%
- Non-state conflict · 0%
- Against civilians · 0%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- 1.3 M
- 2026-08
- Share in food crisis
- 4%
- 2026-08
- Undernourishment
- 39.5%
- 2023
- Refugees who fled
- —
- Refugees hosted
- —
- Internally displaced
- —
- Sanctions designations
- 1
- 2026-09-29
- GDP per person
- $599
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).
FEWS NET — IPC-compatible analysis
Latest incidents of organised violence0
No organised violence recorded in the current data.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Conflicts, 90 days0
No organised violence recorded in the current data.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days1
- WildfireForest fires in Madagascar · Sep 4, 2026
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Next 7 days in Antananarivo
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Sep 29 | 15…28 | 0.0 mm | 44 km/h | |
| Wed, Sep 30 | 14…27 | 0.0 mm | 39 km/h | |
| Thu, Oct 1 | 15…25 | 0.1 mm | 46 km/h | |
| Fri, Oct 2 | 14…22 | 0.1 mm | 45 km/h | |
| Sat, Oct 3 | 14…25 | 0.0 mm | 49 km/h | |
| Sun, Oct 4 | 15…25 | 2.4 mm | 36 km/h | |
| Mon, Oct 5 | 16…25 | 1.8 mm | 39 km/h |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Food prices in markets7
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rice (local) / KG | 2,800 MGA | 0.65 | -4% |
| Rice (imported) / KG | 2,642.5 MGA | 0.61 | -9% |
| Beans (pois de cap) / KG | 4,266.67 MGA | 0.99 | -24% |
| Groundnuts (Bambara) / KG | 4,333.34 MGA | 1.00 | +3% |
| Cassava (dry) / KG | 2,000 MGA | 0.46 | +31% |
| Cassava (fresh) / KG | 1,625 MGA | 0.38 | +4% |
| Maize (crushed) / KG | 2,450 MGA | 0.57 | -19% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-08); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 200018
Tropical cyclonesDroughtsFloods
- Tropical Cyclone GEZANI-26 · Feb 6, 2026 · Post-tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 211 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone FYTIA-26 · Jan 29, 2026 · Remnant Low (maximum wind speed of 179 km/h)
- Drought in Madagascar · Nov 21, 2025 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 97655 km2
- Tropical Cyclone JUDE-25 · Mar 8, 2025 · Post-tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 148 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone HONDE-25 · Feb 25, 2025 · Post-tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 137 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone DIKELEDI-25 · Jan 8, 2025 · Post-tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 201 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone CHIDO-25 · Dec 9, 2024 · Inland (maximum wind speed of 243 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone GAMANE-24 · Mar 25, 2024 · Inland (maximum wind speed of 169 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone BELAL-24 · Jan 12, 2024 · Remnant Low (maximum wind speed of 158 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone FREDDY-23 · Feb 6, 2023 · Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 250 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 · Mar 7, 2022 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 185 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone EMNATI-22 · Feb 16, 2022 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 204 km/h)
- Flood in France, Madagascar, Mauritius · Feb 1, 2022 · Magnitude 0
- Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 · Jan 27, 2022 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 231 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone ANA-22 · Jan 23, 2022 · Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
- Flood in Eswatini, Madagascar, Mozambique, South Africa, Zimbabwe · Jan 19, 2021 · Magnitude 0
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)