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Kenya

WatchScore 3Open the map

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    0

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    —

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    —

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    2

  • Population

    57.5 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    0 / 0

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level2

  • +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice
  • +13.8 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Travel advice level (FCDO)

    3

  • Natural hazards, 7 days

    1

  • People in food crisis (IPC 3+)

    3 750 000

  • Refugees who fled

    21 098

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Kenya, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 0%
  • Non-state conflict · 0%
  • Against civilians · 0%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
3.8 M
2026-08
Share in food crisis
7%
2026-08
Undernourishment
36.8%
2023
Refugees who fled
21,098
2025
Refugees hosted
835,771
2025
Internally displaced
—
2025
Sanctions designations
65
2026-09-29
GDP per person
$2,363
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).

FEWS NET — IPC-compatible analysis

Latest incidents of organised violence2

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-08-25Yumbis village in Fafi Sub-CountyGovernment of Kenya — Al-Shabaab00BBC Monitoring News Alert
2026-08-22Mangai area of Lamu CountyGovernment of Kenya — Al-Shabaab00BBC Monitoring News Alert

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days1

  • Kenya: Northeastern Province and Coast0

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days3

  • WildfireForest fires in Kenya · Sep 23, 2026
  • FloodFlood in Kenya · Sep 12, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Kenya · Sep 2, 2026

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Kenya: Avoid all travel to parts

No severe weather warning in force.

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Next 7 days in Nairobi

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Tue, Sep 2916…261.7 mm40 km/h
Wed, Sep 3015…280.0 mm43 km/h
Thu, Oct 113…280.0 mm38 km/h
Fri, Oct 214…280.0 mm43 km/h
Sat, Oct 316…277.1 mm43 km/h
Sun, Oct 416…2513.1 mm47 km/h
Mon, Oct 516…2419.7 mm49 km/h

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets12

ItemPriceUSDYear
Beans (dry) / KG115 KES0.89+15%
Oil (vegetable) / L300 KES2.32+7%
Maize / KG55.84 KES0.43-20%
Maize flour / KG83.88 KES0.65+1%
Rice / KG120 KES0.93+9%
Sorghum / KG44.17 KES0.34-45%
Wheat flour / KG90.56 KES0.70+1%
Sugar / KG157.5 KES1.22-7%
Salt / 200 G15 KES0.12+50%
Milk (UHT) / 500 ML80 KES0.62-20%
Potatoes (Irish) / KG80 KES0.62+60%
Bananas / Unit20 KES0.150%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-08); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)

Disasters since 20007

022000: 020002001: 02002: 02003: 02004: 02005: 020052006: 02007: 02008: 02009: 02010: 020102011: 02012: 02013: 02014: 02015: 020152016: 02017: 02018: 02019: Droughts 12020: Floods 120202021: 02022: 02023: Floods 12024: Floods 12025: Droughts 120252026: Droughts 22026

DroughtsFloods

  • Drought in Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda · May 21, 2026 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 196893 km2
  • Drought in Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan, Somalia, South Sudan, Uganda · Apr 21, 2026 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 752713 km2
  • Drought in Kenya, Somalia · May 21, 2025 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 124167 km2
  • Flood in Kenya · Apr 12, 2024 · Magnitude 0
  • Flood in Kenya · Oct 23, 2023 · Magnitude 0
  • Flood in Kenya · Apr 18, 2020 · Magnitude 0
  • Drought in Kenya · Feb 21, 2019 · Severe impact for agricultural drought in 49202 km2

GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)

Next elections1

  • August 10, 2027 — President, National Assembly and Senate

Wikipedia — national electoral calendar (CC BY-SA)