Skip to main content
Back to ARMSMALive · reading of Sep 29

Indonesia

NormalScore 0Open the map

  • Deaths 30 d

    14

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    0.0

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    71%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    5

  • Population

    285.7 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    1 / 10

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level0

Nothing in the open sources stands out.

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Violence deaths, 30 days

    1

    —

  • Violence incidents, 30 days

    1

    —

  • Internet outage alerts, 24 h

    1

  • Power plants near violence

    1

  • Refugees who fled

    17 420

  • Natural hazards, 7 days

    1

    —

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Indonesia, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 36%
  • Non-state conflict · 0%
  • Against civilians · 64%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
—
2026-08
Share in food crisis
—
2026-08
Undernourishment
6.3%
2023
Refugees who fled
17,420
2025
Refugees hosted
12,071
2025
Internally displaced
—
2025
Sanctions designations
129
2026-09-29
GDP per person
$5,060
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

FEWS NET does not cover this country.

Latest incidents of organised violence5

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-08-27 – 2026-08-28in Slipi, West JakartaUnidentified armed group (Indonesia) — Civilians11The Jakarta Post, Tempo.co
2026-08-17in Central Papua, post in Jila district, Mimika regencyGovernment of Indonesia — OPM21The Jakarta Post, The Jakarta Post
2026-08-16a forest area in Eral Makawia district, Puncak regency in Central Papua provinceGovernment of Indonesia — OPM30The Jakarta Post
2026-08-13in Muara Aifam, Maybrat regency (Southwest Papua province)Government of Indonesia — Civilians33Crisiswatch
2026-08-02WonikiSub-district, Tolikara District, Highland PapuaOPM — Civilians55LKBN ANTARA, LKBN ANTARA

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days4

  • Indonesia: West Papua5
  • OPM - Civilians5
  • Government of Indonesia - Civilians3
  • Unidentified armed group (Indonesia) - Civilians1

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days25

  • WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Sep 22, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Papua New Guinea, Indonesia · Sep 21, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Sep 19, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Sep 18, 2026
  • FloodFlood in Indonesia · Sep 16, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Sep 16, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Sep 15, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Sep 14, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Sep 14, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Sep 14, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Sep 12, 2026
  • WildfireForest fires in Indonesia · Sep 11, 2026

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Indonesia: No specific restriction

No severe weather warning in force.

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Power plants near danger1

  • PLTGU Priok Block 1 2 · Gas · 1,180 MW

    1 incidents within 50 km in 90 days, nearest 11 km

Distance only: this does not mean a plant was affected.

WRI Global Power Plant Database; UCDP; GDACS · USGS

Next 7 days in Jakarta

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Tue, Sep 2924…332.7 mm44 km/h
Wed, Sep 3026…321.4 mm38 km/h
Thu, Oct 126…323.6 mm42 km/h
Fri, Oct 224…312.9 mm39 km/h
Sat, Oct 324…307.4 mm33 km/h
Sun, Oct 425…301.2 mm36 km/h
Mon, Oct 526…321.8 mm35 km/h

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets4

ItemPriceUSDYear
Garlic (medium) / KG36,000 IDR2.03-10%
Sugar (local) / KG19,000 IDR1.07+4%
Oil (vegetable) / KG23,500 IDR1.33+7%
Rice (medium quality) / KG15,500 IDR0.88+3%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-06); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)

Disasters since 200027

082000: 020002001: 02002: 02003: 02004: 02005: 020052006: 02007: 02008: 02009: 02010: 020102011: 02012: 02013: 02014: 02015: 020152016: 02017: 02018: 02019: Floods 2, Droughts 2, Earthquakes 12020: 020202021: Earthquakes 2, Floods 12022: Volcanoes 1, Earthquakes 12023: Earthquakes 22024: Volcanoes 1, Floods 1, Earthquakes 12025: Floods 2, Volcanoes 5, Earthquakes 120252026: Volcanoes 2, Earthquakes 22026

VolcanoesEarthquakesFloodsDroughts

  • Eruption Krakatau · Sep 4, 2026
  • Earthquake in Indonesia · Aug 14, 2026 · Magnitude 7.7M, Depth:10km
  • Earthquake in Indonesia · Jun 16, 2026 · Magnitude 6.7M, Depth:10km
  • Eruption Dukono · May 8, 2026
  • Flood in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand · Dec 3, 2025 · Magnitude 0
  • Eruption Semeru · Nov 19, 2025
  • Flood in Indonesia · Nov 17, 2025 · Magnitude 0
  • Eruption Lewotobi · Oct 14, 2025
  • Earthquake in Indonesia · Aug 16, 2025 · Magnitude 5.8M, Depth:10km
  • Eruption Lewotobi · Jun 17, 2025
  • Eruption Lewotobi · Feb 13, 2025
  • Eruption Ibu · Jan 14, 2025
  • Eruption Lewotobi · Oct 14, 2024
  • Earthquake in Indonesia · Mar 22, 2024 · Magnitude 6.4M, Depth:8.498km
  • Flood in Indonesia · Feb 3, 2024 · Magnitude 0
  • Earthquake in Indonesia · Apr 24, 2023 · Magnitude 7.1M, Depth:34km

GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)