Level, last 60 days
Deaths 30 d
5
UCDP up to 2026-08-31
Per million 90 d
0.3
last 90 days
Civilians
20%
last 90 days
Incidents 30 d
3
Population
18.7 M
World Bank
Plants near violence
0 / 0
near violence / total; 0 nuclear
Why this level1
- +12.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Every monitored signal
The last 60 days, each on its own scale.
Natural hazards, 7 days
1
Travel advice level (FCDO)
1
People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
2 250 000
Refugees who fled
173 414
Source: ARMSMA situation watch
Deaths in organised violence, per week
Guatemala, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.
The latest week may be incomplete.
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Who the violence is between
Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.
- State-based conflict · 0%
- Non-state conflict · 100%
- Against civilians · 0%
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Food, displacement, sanctions
- People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
- 2.3 M
- 2026-08
- Share in food crisis
- 12%
- 2026-08
- Undernourishment
- 11.8%
- 2023
- Refugees who fled
- 173,414
- 2025
- Refugees hosted
- 5,674
- 2025
- Internally displaced
- 573,000
- 2025
- Sanctions designations
- 99
- 2026-09-29
- GDP per person
- $6,598
- 2025
FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions
People in crisis-level food insecurity
IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).
FEWS NET — IPC-compatible analysis
Latest incidents of organised violence3
| Date | Place | Sides | Deaths | Civilians | Reported by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Zone 21 of Guatemala City intersection of 3rd Avenue and 7th Street in the Cerro Gordo neighborhood | M18 — MS-13 | 2 | 0 | Prensa Libre.com, CE NoticiasFinancieras, CE NoticiasFinancieras |
| 2026-08-02 | Cerro Gordo neighborhood, Zone 21 of the capital | M18 — MS-13 | 1 | 0 | Prensa Libre.com, CE NoticiasFinancieras |
| 2026-08-02 | Men's Detention Center in Zone 18 | M18 — MS-13 | 2 | 1 | Prensa Libre.com, CE NoticiasFinancieras, CE NoticiasFinancieras |
Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31
Conflicts, 90 days1
- M18 - MS-135
Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)
Natural hazards, 30 days1
- FloodFlood in Guatemala · Sep 21, 2026
GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET
Warnings and notices
UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS
Next 7 days in Guatemala City
| Day | °C | Rain | Gusts | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Sep 29 | 17…26 | 10.9 mm | 31 km/h | thunderstorm |
| Wed, Sep 30 | 17…26 | 4.7 mm | 23 km/h | |
| Thu, Oct 1 | 17…25 | 6.0 mm | 35 km/h | |
| Fri, Oct 2 | 17…24 | 3.4 mm | 41 km/h | |
| Sat, Oct 3 | 16…26 | 5.4 mm | 31 km/h | |
| Sun, Oct 4 | 17…24 | 12.2 mm | 26 km/h | thunderstorm |
| Mon, Oct 5 | 16…25 | 15.5 mm | 31 km/h | thunderstorm |
Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.
Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)
Food prices in markets2
| Item | Price | USD | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fuel (diesel) / Gallon | 45.85 GTQ | 6.01 | +71% |
| Fuel (petrol-gasoline) / Gallon | 39.73 GTQ | 5.21 | +38% |
Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-08); change against the same month a year before.
WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)
Disasters since 200011
DroughtsEarthquakesVolcanoesTropical cyclonesWildfiresFloods
- Drought in The Bahamas, Belize, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Haiti, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador · Apr 21, 2026 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 677277 km2
- Earthquake in Guatemala · Jul 29, 2025 · Magnitude 5.7M, Depth:10km
- Earthquake in Guatemala · Jul 8, 2025 · Magnitude 5.7M, Depth:10km
- Eruption Fuego · Mar 10, 2025
- Tropical Cyclone NADINE-24 · Oct 18, 2024 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
- Tropical Cyclone ALBERTO-24 · Jun 17, 2024 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
- Forest fires in Guatemala · May 12, 2024 · Green impact for forestfire in 6141 ha
- Forest fires in Guatemala · Apr 20, 2024 · Red impact for forestfire in 2807 ha
- Tropical Cyclone LISA-22 · Oct 30, 2022 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 139 km/h)
- Flood in Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Trinidad and Tobago, United States · Nov 3, 2020 · Magnitude 0
- Drought in Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua · Sep 21, 2018 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 113247 km2
GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)
Next elections1
- June 27, 2027 — President and Congress
Wikipedia — national electoral calendar (CC BY-SA)