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Guatemala

NormalScore 1Open the map

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    5

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    0.3

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    20%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    3

  • Population

    18.7 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    0 / 0

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level1

  • +12.3 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Natural hazards, 7 days

    1

  • Travel advice level (FCDO)

    1

  • People in food crisis (IPC 3+)

    2 250 000

  • Refugees who fled

    173 414

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Guatemala, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 0%
  • Non-state conflict · 100%
  • Against civilians · 0%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
2.3 M
2026-08
Share in food crisis
12%
2026-08
Undernourishment
11.8%
2023
Refugees who fled
173,414
2025
Refugees hosted
5,674
2025
Internally displaced
573,000
2025
Sanctions designations
99
2026-09-29
GDP per person
$6,598
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).

FEWS NET — IPC-compatible analysis

Latest incidents of organised violence3

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-08-17Zone 21 of Guatemala City intersection of 3rd Avenue and 7th Street in the Cerro Gordo neighborhoodM18 — MS-1320Prensa Libre.com, CE NoticiasFinancieras, CE NoticiasFinancieras
2026-08-02Cerro Gordo neighborhood, Zone 21 of the capitalM18 — MS-1310Prensa Libre.com, CE NoticiasFinancieras
2026-08-02Men's Detention Center in Zone 18M18 — MS-1321Prensa Libre.com, CE NoticiasFinancieras, CE NoticiasFinancieras

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days1

  • M18 - MS-135

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days1

  • FloodFlood in Guatemala · Sep 21, 2026

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Guatemala: Avoid all but essential travel to parts

No severe weather warning in force.

EMSVolcano eruption in Guatemala · Aug 5, 2026

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Next 7 days in Guatemala City

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Tue, Sep 2917…2610.9 mm31 km/hthunderstorm
Wed, Sep 3017…264.7 mm23 km/h
Thu, Oct 117…256.0 mm35 km/h
Fri, Oct 217…243.4 mm41 km/h
Sat, Oct 316…265.4 mm31 km/h
Sun, Oct 417…2412.2 mm26 km/hthunderstorm
Mon, Oct 516…2515.5 mm31 km/hthunderstorm

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets2

ItemPriceUSDYear
Fuel (diesel) / Gallon45.85 GTQ6.01+71%
Fuel (petrol-gasoline) / Gallon39.73 GTQ5.21+38%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-08); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)

Disasters since 200011

042000: 020002001: 02002: 02003: 02004: 02005: 020052006: 02007: 02008: 02009: 02010: 020102011: 02012: 02013: 02014: 02015: 020152016: 02017: 02018: Droughts 12019: 02020: Floods 120202021: 02022: Tropical cyclones 12023: 02024: Tropical cyclones 2, Wildfires 22025: Earthquakes 2, Volcanoes 120252026: Droughts 12026

DroughtsEarthquakesVolcanoesTropical cyclonesWildfiresFloods

  • Drought in The Bahamas, Belize, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Haiti, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador · Apr 21, 2026 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 677277 km2
  • Earthquake in Guatemala · Jul 29, 2025 · Magnitude 5.7M, Depth:10km
  • Earthquake in Guatemala · Jul 8, 2025 · Magnitude 5.7M, Depth:10km
  • Eruption Fuego · Mar 10, 2025
  • Tropical Cyclone NADINE-24 · Oct 18, 2024 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
  • Tropical Cyclone ALBERTO-24 · Jun 17, 2024 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
  • Forest fires in Guatemala · May 12, 2024 · Green impact for forestfire in 6141 ha
  • Forest fires in Guatemala · Apr 20, 2024 · Red impact for forestfire in 2807 ha
  • Tropical Cyclone LISA-22 · Oct 30, 2022 · Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 139 km/h)
  • Flood in Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Trinidad and Tobago, United States · Nov 3, 2020 · Magnitude 0
  • Drought in Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua · Sep 21, 2018 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 113247 km2

GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)

Next elections1

  • June 27, 2027 — President and Congress

Wikipedia — national electoral calendar (CC BY-SA)