Skip to main content
Back to ARMSMALive · reading of Sep 29

Central African Republic

WatchScore 2Open the map

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    11

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    2.4

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    23%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    5

  • Population

    5.5 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    0 / 0

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level1

  • +2UK FCDO advises against all travel to parts of the countryUK FCDO travel advice

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Travel advice level (FCDO)

    3

  • People in food crisis (IPC 3+)

    875 000

  • Refugees who fled

    756 822

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Central African Republic, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 69%
  • Non-state conflict · 0%
  • Against civilians · 31%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
0.9 M
2026-08
Share in food crisis
16%
2026-08
Undernourishment
29.8%
2023
Refugees who fled
756,822
2025
Refugees hosted
63,761
2025
Internally displaced
427,479
2025
Sanctions designations
35
2026-09-29
GDP per person
$556
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).

FEWS NET — IPC-compatible analysis

Latest incidents of organised violence6

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-08-20—Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic) — Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic)10Corbeau News
2026-08-17 – 2026-08-23a gold mining site, 85 kilometers from Sam OuandjaGovernment of Russia (Soviet Union) — Civilians11Corbeau News
2026-08-09near Angara villageGovernment of Central African Republic — CPC60International Crisis Group
2026-08-05along Matala-Tissi roadGovernment of Central African Republic — PRNC20International Crisis Group, Radio Ndeke Luka, China Internet Information Center.
2026-08-05Arédéba villagePRNC — Civilians11Radio Ndeke Luka, Radio Ndeke Luka, China Internet Information Center.
2026-07-30 – 2026-08-0118 km from the town of DamaraUnidentified armed group (Central African Republic) — Civilians21Agence France Presse, Agence France Presse, Associated Press Newswires

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days5

  • Central African Republic: Government6
  • Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic)3
  • Unidentified armed group (Central African Republic) - Civilians2
  • Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Civilians1
  • PRNC - Civilians1

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days0

None in the last 30 days.

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Central African Republic: Avoid all travel to parts

No severe weather warning in force.

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Next 7 days in Bangui

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Tue, Sep 2923…294.3 mm27 km/h
Wed, Sep 3023…295.6 mm22 km/h
Thu, Oct 122…298.9 mm19 km/hthunderstorm
Fri, Oct 222…2914.1 mm30 km/hthunderstorm
Sat, Oct 322…309.0 mm23 km/h
Sun, Oct 422…297.8 mm21 km/h
Mon, Oct 522…2920.4 mm24 km/h

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets10

ItemPriceUSDYear
Cassava (cossette) / KG135 XAF0.24-30%
Rice / KG750 XAF1.32-6%
Groundnuts (shelled) / KG606 XAF1.07-29%
Sugar (white) / KG1,050 XAF1.85-14%
Maize / KG230 XAF0.41+6%
Oil (palm) / L850 XAF1.50-19%
Sesame / KG571 XAF1.01-24%
Salt / KG403 XAF0.71-3%
Beans (white) / KG458 XAF0.81-25%
Sorghum / KG229.5 XAF0.41+6%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-08); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)