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Back to ARMSMALive · reading of Sep 29

Afghanistan

SevereScore 8Compound crisesOpen the map

Level, last 60 days

  • Deaths 30 d

    56

    UCDP up to 2026-08-31

  • Per million 90 d

    1.3

    last 90 days

  • Civilians

    5%

    last 90 days

  • Incidents 30 d

    26

  • Population

    43.8 M

    World Bank

  • Plants near violence

    0 / 0

    near violence / total; 0 nuclear

Why this level5

  • +3UK FCDO advises against all travel to the whole countryUK FCDO travel advice
  • +26.5 million people in crisis-level food insecurity or worse (IPC 3+)FEWS NET
  • +11 death in organised violence in the last 30 daysUCDP GED Candidate
  • +12.9 million refugees and asylum-seekers have fled the countryUNHCR
  • +1Compound crisis: organised violence, official travel advice, food insecurity, mass displacement at the same timeARMSMA situation watch

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Every monitored signal

The last 60 days, each on its own scale.

  • Violence deaths, 30 days

    1

  • Internet outage alerts, 24 h

    5

  • Violence incidents, 30 days

    2

  • Travel advice level (FCDO)

    4

  • Refugees who fled

    2 941 567

  • People in food crisis (IPC 3+)

    6 500 000

Source: ARMSMA situation watch

Deaths in organised violence, per week

Afghanistan, UCDP best estimates. The red bar is the latest week.

The latest week may be incomplete.

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Who the violence is between

Deaths by kind of violence, last 90 days of data.

  • State-based conflict · 93%
  • Non-state conflict · 2%
  • Against civilians · 5%

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Food, displacement, sanctions

People in food crisis (IPC 3+)
6.5 M
2026-08
Share in food crisis
15%
2026-08
Undernourishment
28.1%
2023
Refugees who fled
2,941,567
2025
Refugees hosted
21,251
2025
Internally displaced
3,199,023
2025
Sanctions designations
304
2026-09-29
GDP per person
$417
2025

FEWS NET · World Bank / FAO · UNHCR · OpenSanctions

People in crisis-level food insecurity

IPC Phase 3 or worse, month by month (FEWS NET current-situation estimates, midpoint of the published range).

FEWS NET — IPC-compatible analysis

Latest incidents of organised violence25

DatePlaceSidesDeathsCiviliansReported by
2026-08-31GhorGovernment of Afghanistan — AUF00The Afghan Digest
2026-08-31Kabul’s Darulaman areaGovernment of Afghanistan — Civilians11The Afghan Digest
2026-08-28Shidai area of Herat ProvinceGovernment of Afghanistan — NRF00NRF, The Afghan Digest
2026-08-28at the Ismat Crossroads in Mehtarlam cityGovernment of Afghanistan — NRF30Etilaat Roz, BBC Monitoring News Alert, The Afghan Digest
2026-08-28Zargha village of DushiHazara — Kochi10Kabul Now
2026-08-27Chahar Sāyi village of Nahrin districtGovernment of Afghanistan — NRF20Ariana News, Hasht e Subh Daily, Afghan Analyst on Twitter (X)
2026-08-27Khost district, BaghlanGovernment of Afghanistan — NRF20Kabul Now, Afghan Analyst on Twitter (X)
2026-08-25Zibak District of Badakhshan ProvinceGovernment of Afghanistan — AFF00AFF, The Afghan Digest
2026-08-25Fifth Police Zone in Faizabad, Badakhshan Province.Government of Afghanistan — NRF00NRF, The Afghan Digest
2026-08-25Zourabad family area of ​​Qambar intersection in Kabul cityGovernment of Afghanistan — Civilians00Etilaat Roz
2026-08-20North Salang of Baghlan provinceGovernment of Afghanistan — NRF30Khaama Press, Ariana News, Kabul Now
2026-08-19Taliban governor's office in Faizabad city, BadakhshanGovernment of Afghanistan — AFF00AFF, The Afghan Digest
2026-08-16"Mah Naw" village of Jalband area of ​​Nasi district of Badakhshan.Government of Afghanistan — Forces of Juma Khan Fateh20Hasht e Subh Daily
2026-08-16Mamand area of Achin district, Nangarhar.Government of Afghanistan — IS250The Afghan Digest
2026-08-15Nusay districtGovernment of Afghanistan — Forces of Juma Khan Fateh10The Afghan Digest
2026-08-15 – 2026-08-16Zibak, BadakhshanGovernment of Afghanistan — AFF00AFF, AFF, The Afghan Digest
2026-08-14 – 2026-08-15Chenarak Valley area of Chah Ab District, Takhar ProvinceUnidentified armed group (Afghanistan) — Civilians11The Afghan Digest, @naserifreshta234 on Instagram
2026-08-13Faizabad in Badakhshan provinceGovernment of Afghanistan — NRF20Ariana News, NRF, Etilaat Roz
2026-08-11 – 2026-08-13—Government of Afghanistan — Forces of Juma Khan Fateh120Hasht e Subh Daily, Etilaat Roz, The Afghan Digest
2026-08-11Khar-e-Sang area of Dawlina districtGovernment of Afghanistan — Civilians11Hasht e Subh Daily, Kabul Now
2026-08-10Shahid Mazari Road in the Tank-e-Til area of Dasht-e-Barchi, western KabulGovernment of Afghanistan — ARF00Kabul Now, The Afghan Digest
2026-08-10police headquarters in HeratGovernment of Afghanistan — Civilians00Hasht e Subh Daily, Kabul Now
2026-08-06Argo districtGovernment of Afghanistan — AUF00The Afghan Digest, AUF
2026-08-05village of Ulad in the Pul-e-Hisar Andarab district of Baghlan provinceGovernment of Afghanistan — AUF00Kabul Now, The Afghan Digest, AUF
2026-08-05Zibak, BadakhshanGovernment of Afghanistan — AFF00AFF, Etilaat Roz, The Afghan Digest

Source: UCDP GED Candidate, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0), data up to 2026-08-31

Conflicts, 90 days5

  • Afghanistan: Government27
  • Afghanistan: Islamic State25
  • Government of Afghanistan - Civilians2
  • Unidentified armed group (Afghanistan) - Civilians1
  • Hazara - Kochi1

Source: UCDP GED Candidate (CC BY 4.0)

Natural hazards, 30 days0

None in the last 30 days.

GDACS · USGS · NASA EONET

Warnings and notices

UK FCDO: Afghanistan: Avoid all travel

No severe weather warning in force.

UK FCDO · WMO · WHO · Copernicus EMS

Next 7 days in Kabul

Day°CRainGustsWatch
Tue, Sep 2911…230.0 mm30 km/h
Wed, Sep 3012…270.0 mm32 km/h
Thu, Oct 114…260.3 mm44 km/h
Fri, Oct 213…260.0 mm35 km/h
Sat, Oct 314…290.0 mm22 km/h
Sun, Oct 414…320.0 mm21 km/h
Mon, Oct 516…290.0 mm32 km/h

Forecast for the capital only; marks: heat ≥38 °C, frost ≤−20 °C, rain ≥50 mm, gusts ≥75 km/h, thunderstorms. Official warnings are above.

Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

Food prices in markets13

ItemPriceUSDYear
Bread / KG50 AFN0.780%
Fuel (diesel) / L79.34 AFN1.23+14%
Rice (low quality) / KG69 AFN1.08+38%
Wage (qualified labour) / Day600 AFN9.31-5%
Rice (high quality) / KG122.34 AFN1.90+22%
Wheat flour (high quality) / KG32 AFN0.50+7%
Wheat flour (low quality) / KG29.5 AFN0.46+13%
Salt / KG25 AFN0.39+25%
Sugar / KG59.33 AFN0.92+11%
Oil (cooking) / KG120.84 AFN1.88+14%
Pulses / KG82.66 AFN1.29-14%
Exchange rate / USD/LCU64.33 AFN1.00-5%
Wheat / KG27.17 AFN0.42+13%

Median retail price across markets in the latest month reported (2026-09); change against the same month a year before.

WFP · HDX (CC BY-IGO)

Disasters since 200012

042000: 020002001: 02002: 02003: 02004: 02005: 020052006: 02007: 02008: 02009: 02010: 020102011: 02012: 02013: 02014: 02015: 020152016: 02017: 02018: Droughts 12019: 02020: 020202021: Floods 12022: Earthquakes 12023: Earthquakes 32024: Floods 12025: Earthquakes 420252026: Floods 12026

FloodsEarthquakesDroughts

  • Flood in Afghanistan · Mar 25, 2026 · Magnitude 0
  • Earthquake in Afghanistan · Nov 2, 2025 · Magnitude 6.3M, Depth:28km
  • Earthquake in Afghanistan · Sep 5, 2025 · Magnitude 5.2M, Depth:10km
  • Earthquake in Afghanistan · Sep 4, 2025 · Magnitude 5.6M, Depth:10km
  • Earthquake in Afghanistan · Aug 31, 2025 · Magnitude 6M, Depth:8km
  • Flood in Afghanistan · May 9, 2024 · Magnitude 0
  • Earthquake in Afghanistan · Oct 15, 2023 · Magnitude 5.4M, Depth:10km
  • Earthquake in Afghanistan · Oct 11, 2023 · Magnitude 6.3M, Depth:10km
  • Earthquake in Afghanistan · Oct 7, 2023 · Magnitude 5.9M, Depth:7.726km
  • Earthquake in Afghanistan · Jun 21, 2022 · Magnitude 5.9M, Depth:10km
  • Flood in Afghanistan · Jul 28, 2021 · Magnitude 0
  • Drought in Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan · Nov 21, 2018 · Medium impact for agricultural drought in 116622 km2

GDACS (orange and red alerts since 2000)